Formula 1 British GP: How many cars will fail to finish a lap? -by jenspm
So far, there have been crashes in the first round in four of the nine races so far this season, in Australia, China, Spain and Monaco. Australia was extremely wet and chaotic, and it had to happen, really. China was slightly wet and in Monaco Hulkenberg crashed in the tunnel due to a bad front-wing mount. So that makes 2/7 under dry conditions.
Since its rebuilding in 2000, Silverstone has had first-round crashes in three races – ’08, ’06 and ’01. ’08 was a wet race, so that’s 2/9 races. Worth noting is that we now have more cars on the circuit, but my above stat proved that that doesn’t have to mean all too much – they survived in Monacco, right?
The first corner comes quickly at Silverstone, thus giving us lower speeds coming in and thus less chance of a crash. Furthermore, I doubt the drivers will be too keen on attacking the first corner as they know it won’t be a huge opportunity to pass.
As for the weather – expecting some sprinkles early in the morning (talking max. 0.4mm from 6AM – noon), but this should dry up quickly on the hot track, with the slight wind and the air temperature.